Why the Sunshine Coast won't see worst of big wet
THE weather talk is all about a deluge making the entire eastern coast of Australia awash, but exactly how much can the Sunshine Coast expect coming into the weekend.
According to Bureau of Meteorology forecaster Sean Fitzgerald, not as much as some fear.
The real rainfall event is expected to be contained to the north of Gladstone through to Cairns and in western areas of Queensland with models showing the Sunshine Coast having only a 10% chance of falls to 45mm on Friday.
While rain may be heavy at times it will not reach anything near the levels that have caused problems along the Sunshine Coast in previous events.
The weather is expected to be controlled by two developing troughs. One is expected to creep into the south-west this evening (Wednesday) and will bring a higher chance of showers on Saturday.
Mr Fitzgerald said the other trough was only just now "lurking" on the Willis Island radar off North Queensland and would move onto the north tropical coast later this afternoon.
"The main concern are Friday and Saturday," he said.
"But the worst of it, the real rainfall event, will be north of Gladstone and in the west.
"There will be a noticeable amount of rain on Friday (on the Sunshine Coast) but the out limit of 45mm has only a 10% chance."
The BOM is forecasting a 90% chance of rainfall on Friday, 60% Thursday and 80% on Saturday.
It predicts Friday may see falls between 15-35mm and Saturday the chance of falls up to 20mm.
The remainder of today is expected to be sunny with the chance of a shower, light winds over land and a maximum of 25 degrees.
Thursday was expected to reach a 24 degree maximum on a partly cloudy day with showers in the evening and light winds.
Friday will be cloudy although temperatures are not expected to get above 23 degrees with the chance of thunderstorms.
Saturday is also expected to be cloudy with showers in the morning and afternoon with again the chance of thunderstorms. Maximum temperatures were not expected to get above 24 degrees off an overnight low of 17 degrees.
Sunday will see temperatures warm appreciably to a 26 degree maximum on another partly cloudy day with the chance of showers conditions which will be mirrored for the first two days of the next working week.
Surfers were treated to clean light offshore conditions at Maroochydore Wednesday morning but the surf had dropped off to under a metre.
Conditions would have been slightly bigger on the Coast's northern beaches.